I’ve mentioned the Blu Ray/HD quandry in the past, but it seems the fight is drawing to its conclusion. In both the US and Europe, Blu-ray discs are significantly outselling HD DVDs.
But its this MacRumors chart (below) that pretty much sums up the battle:
Its hard to see how HD has a shot.
Now the question becomes how fast the prices drop on both the Blu Ray players and movies, but for now, I am sticking with an upconvert Sony for the big TV.
UPDATE: January 8, 2008 8:21pm
Why would prices go down?
As we previously discussed, I suspect many consumers have been on the sidelines awaiting the winner of the format war between Blu-Ray and HD.
As that fades away, the total number of purchases of the winner — Blu Ray — will go up significantly.
Thus, economies of scale, mass adaptation, and desires for deep market penetration will drive prices lower.
As to the monopoly issue — I doubt its an issue. 1) These are video playback toys, not an essential product or service; and B) There is still legit competition from ordinary DVD players (fer cryin out loud, you can still buy VCRs for $29).
My apologies for failing to explain the intermediate steps in my thinking . . .