New Home Sales Fall 30.6% in March

Another ugly New Home Sales report:  There was no statistically significant monthly improvement, as the reported change of 0.6% was within the margin of error of ±19.0%. The year-over-year data, however, was god-awful: A drop of 30.6% (±10.7%) below the March 2008 data.

There is a slight silver lining in the inventory: Months supply fell to 10.7 from 11.2 — the lowest level since October 2008. The cycle high was in January 2009 at 12.5. And the absolute # of homes for sale fell to 311k from 328k to the lowest since Jan ’02. While this is an improvement, 6 months is the 30 year average, so we still have a ways to go.

And as Rex Nutting points out, even with Builders cutting prices in March, “the time it takes to sell a home rose to record high of 10.2 months.” Blame competition from cheap foreclosures, with nearly half of all existing sales distressed property.


New Home Sales


Source:  Census Bureau


Media Misreports New Home Sales –they didn’t rise, they fell 41% (March 26th, 2009)

Census Bureau, APRIL 24, 2009 AT 10:00 A.M. EDT

New Home Sales Chart

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