Quote of the Day: “Beware of Conviction”

A good quote regarding all of those cocksure know-it-alls but get-it-all-wrong anyway on the tube:

"I continue to listen to and read a lot of convicted opinions — for instance, the market has bottomed, financials have bottomed, oil has topped, stocks are enormously undervalued against historic measures (like short- and long-term interest rates), etc., etc. Their mantras of "certainty" are almost laughable considering so many uncertain economic, credit and geopolitical factors…

I would put those convicted opinions in a locked closet away from children and "talking heads" (like myself) who sometimes act like children…Err on the side of conservatism and invest/trade light. Too many imponderables, from my perch."

– Doug Kass, THE EDGE (8/07/2008)



Update: August 22, 2008 9:50am

 Here’s a May 2008 Barron’s interview with Doug regarding his investing history and track record (Barron’s pulls the info from Tremont Hedge Fund Research).

Download BarronsInterview.pdf

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