I hereby invoke Bob Farrell’s Rule #9: When all the experts and forecasts agree — something else is going to happen.
Let’s look at the forecasted year-end 2010 levels for the S&P500 and S&P500 earnings:
| Firm | Strategist | 2010 Close | 2010 EPS |
| Bank of America | David Bianco | 1275 | 73 |
| Bank of Montreal | Ben Joyce | 71 | |
| Barclays | Barry Knapp | 1120 | 66 |
| Citigroup | Tobias Levkovich | 1150 | 72.5 |
| Credit Suisse | Andrew Garthwaite | 1125 | 76 |
| Deutsche Bank | Binky Chada | 1260 | 77.8 |
| Goldman Sachs | David Kostin | 1250 | 76 |
| JP Morgan | Thomas Lee | 1300 | 80 |
| Morgan Stanley | Jason Todd | 70 | |
| Oppenheimer | Brian Belski | 1300 | 70 |
| RBC | Myles Zyblock | 1200 | 72 |
| UBS | Thomas Doerflinger | 1250 | 80 |
| Mean | 1223 | $73.69 | |
| Median | 1250 | $72.75 | |
| High | 1300 | $80.00 | |
| Low | 1120 | $66.00 |
What's been said:
Discussions found on the web: