Forecast: House & Senate Races

The excellent fivethirtyeight blog — who produced very accurate forecasts for the 2008 elections — crunches the numbers to come up with a forecast for House and Senate seat outcomes in the mid-term elections.

The likely outcome: GOP pick up seats in the Senate, but do not gain a majority (52 to 48); In the House, we see a much bigger swing, possibly winning the biggest majority in decades (232 to 203); GOP also appears likely to pick up numerous Governorships.


click for interactive graphic

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