S&P 500 5% Pullbacks

Interesting chart from Birinyi Associates:

S&P 500 5% Pullbacks (3/9/09 – 3/16/11)


They add:

“What is perhaps more encouraging is the fact that 5% declines do not usually result in a further 10% decline, and a bear market is even less likely. An initial 5% decline, such as the one beginning on 2/18/11, only results in a correction (10% decline) 33% of the time, and in only 11 of 106 instances has a 5% decline turned out to be a bull market top.”

In other words, in 10% of the times, a 5% correction marks a bull market top . . .

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