Historical 15 Year Market Cycle

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Floyd Norris points out the cyclical nature of stock markets over 15-year periods:

“Compound annual total real return of the Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index peaked at more than 15 percent in 1999, and has since fallen to just 3 percent. That peak was similar to the earlier peak, reached in 1964. After that 1964 peak, the stock market lost momentum and then entered a bear market. By 1979, the market had failed to keep up with inflation over the previous 15 years.”

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Source:
A Historical Cycle Bodes Ill for the Markets
FLOYD NORRIS
NYT, January 6, 2012  
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/01/07/business/economy/a-historical-cycle-bodes-ill-for-the-markets.html

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