Check out the trading at Intrade right around the employment data released this morning. The odds of Romney winning the November election ramped about 3 percentage points right after the jobs number was released.
“I don’t think Mitt Romney is the president’s opponent — the economy is.
Note the charts show the probabilities of winning the Presidency in November. The trading may be subject to politically motivated “tape painting” and manipulation.
(click here if charts are not observable)