Presidential Elections and Economic Modeling
Economic modeling is far more Art than Science. I know, cause I do it for a living. You set up your parameters (which builds in your own...
Presidential Job Worries (historical)
Source: The Dismal Scientist The intersection between economics and politics continues, with this rather fascinating chart via The Dismal...
Refundless Recovery?
We have discussed the jobless recovery ad nauseum. Now comes more disconcerting economic news from Goldman Sachs economist, Edward...
Economists Still Waiting For Job Growth
Last week, Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan cautioned that a slowdown in productivity was necessary to stimulate job creation. We...
More Electoral Math
Here’s an interesting take from Tom Curry of MSNBC on the various permutations of the electoral college: You may be surprised to...
Labor Market Recoveries
NONFARM PAYROLL CHANGE 000’S EMPLOYMENT DATA SUMMARY (1977- 2004) click for larger chart Source: Joshua Shapiro, MFR Labor Market...
Yet Another view of Payrolls (post recession)
This is the a pretty grim graphic of how this stimulus driven recovery matches up against the prior post WWII cycles. It puts the silly...
Between the Fed and a Hard Place
In our view, it appears as though just about everyone is awaiting Friday’s Employment Situation report with baited breadth: Portfolio...
Chart of the Week: PHIL SEMICONDUCTOR INDEX
The Philly Semiconductor Index (SOX) is still above its up trend line (in red) from the lows, but remains one of the weaker areas of...
Manufacturing, Jobs and States “In Play”
The print edition of today’s NYTimes (we referred to the online version yesterday) contains an interesting chart: click for larger...