That was some week! Pour yourself some slow brewed java, and kick back with our longer form weekend reads:
• The Machine that Changed the World: Computers and modern finance entered the world together (Economic Principals)
• The Market Impact of Passive Trading (Research Affiliates)
• Will Advances in Technology Create a Jobless Future? (MIT Technology Review)
• The abridged history of Disney, 2015–2040 AD (The Verge)
• The Donald Has Landed – Deal With It (Time)
• Stephen Colbert on Making The Late Show His Own (GQ)
• A Bank for People Who Hate Banks (Bloomberg)
• Will the Pope Change the Vatican? Or Will the Vatican Change the Pope? (Nat Geo)
• Just Below the Surface: Dubious wilderness, cutthroat business, and human casualties in the war over the fabled Californian Oyster. (Long Reads)
• Price for TSA’s failed body scanners: $160 million. How bad are the machines at catching threats? So bad that Sen. Ron Johnson suggests adding metal detectors. (Politico)
Be sure to check out our Masters in Business interview this weekend with fivethirtyeight.com’s Nate Silver.
Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Is Government Debt Too Low?
Government debt has skyrocketed since the financial crisis, and now tops 100% of GDP on average in rich countries. Is that too high? Oddly, it may not be high enough. ….
Jeff Bezos, Amazon, and the Lack of Profits
Profits are independent of investment decisions, at least if a company is not engaged in accounting fraud. Amazon may have kept prices low to expand market share, thereby depriving itself of profits, but then it doesn’t have money to plow back either. It is very hard to make sense of the assertion that Amazon somehow doesn’t have profits because it is re-investing, although if it gets not very bright market actors to believe it, Amazon’s share price can continue to rise.
It is also important to note the big handout that Amazon has relied upon from taxpayers. ….
How Do We Get People to Care About Climate Change?
“Since we have a pretty good understanding of the barriers, that is a good place to start. We need to flip the barriers over so they become successful strategies. Rather than something distant, communicators need to make climate change feel like something that is near, personal, and urgent. Rather than doom, we need to emphasize the opportunities that the crisis affords us.
Climate change is an opportunity for economic development — an entire energy system has to be redesigned from the wastefulness of the previous century to a much smarter mode of doing things. It’s a great opportunity to improve global collaboration and knowledge sharing and to create a more just society. So climate change is a fantastic opportunity to encourage our global humanity to emerge. We need to be talking about this.”
http://billmoyers.com/2015/08/21/how-do-we-get-people-to-care-about-climate-change/
Sorry Bill Moyers you are a wonderful human being, but also a little clueless. Things like “improve global collaboration” and “encourage our global humanity” is not going to sell with that crowd. I agree with the general strategic idea of playing on their playground. But it has to be with their rules. Yes there can be profits in alternative energy, but they will never just “forget” that it is also a direct threat to their carbon profits. The corporate GOPsters will always resist. But you may be able to sell alternative energy to their “freedom” loving poor white base. Unhooking from the utility company and becoming independent of society, with respect to energy, has a real strong appeal to those people. If it also can save them some money it will be an easy sell. That is how you get people moved into alternative energy even if they are ideologically against it.
“Take a look at Ted Cruz”
– Jack Welch
Here’s Ted Cruz Welch follower! With the evanjesusfreaks in Iowa.
http://www.nytimes.com/politics/first-draft/2015/08/22/ted-cruz-seeking-converts-to-his-campaign-rallies-iowa-evangelicals/
I bet their talking science and tech investing.
Your graph of the Chinese labor force participation resembles that of the US. IMO this is a strong argument against most explanations I have read that try to explain the US decline on various government policies, since the actions of our government and the Chinese government have been very different.
Wired
The Genesis Engine
We now have the power to quickly and easily alter DNA. It could eliminate disease,. It could solve world hunger. It could provide unlimited energy. It could really get out of hand.
By Amy Maxmen
August 2015
…
http://www.wired.com/2015/07/crispr-dna-editing-2/
Great idea!
==========
This isn’t just a product
It’s a social movement
Our Product
Sustainable and cost effective ecologically designed lamp powered by “tap water” and “table salt!”
http://salt.strikingly.com/
A fascinating read even if you don’t buy the story about leading lights of the freshwater economic school rejecting Keynesian theory because Bob Solow looked at them funny. Solow is an interesting figure in macroeconomics for a number of reasons but in this context he raises a point about debate that seems as important as it is neglected; it’s about priors viz
NB: up until the Great Recession, Lucas and other devotees of neoclassical economics were probably quite convinced they’d had the last laugh on Solow but that’s all changed now.
the German miracle? using wage repression?
http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2015/08/german-wage-repression-getting-to-the-roots-of-the-eurozone-crisis.html