Markets rally to ~flat for the year. And, our end of week morning train reads:
• The $3 Trillion ETF ‘Boom’ (CIO)
• Goals-Based Institutional Investing (Wealth of Common Sense)
• A Timeline of Some of The Best Investment Books (Irrelevant Investor)
• Most Earth-like planets have yet to be born, study suggests (Washington Post)
• Driving the 1990 Porsche 911 Reimagined by Singer Vehicle Design (Automobile) see also How Emory Porsche Customizes Incredible Vintage Porsche 356s (Bloomberg)
Be sure to check out our Masters in Business interview this weekend with Paul Desmond of Lowry’s Research.
I can’t believe this hasn’t been widely reported yet:
“Bank of Concerned Neighbourstan cuts key lending rate 25 basis points, hints at further easing”
With this news, I am now seeing the SPOOs at 2500 to end the year. 3000 if we enter recession, and 3500 if we enter a depression.
One thing that helps is links to data and facts that support your POV.
Try it, you’ll like it.
I do, regularly.
It’s satire. As seemingly the only person left on Earth who hasn’t recognized that central banks have totally destroyed the price discovery mechanism, you don’t seem to appreciate it. These “markets” are central bank policy instruments at this point, nothing more. It couldn’t be any more obvious.
I will probably visit Concerned Neighborstan (sorry, can’t bring myself to use ‘silent u’). I like the exchange rate!
The humbling of financial engineering leaves out the very important fact that the financial engineer’s success breeds its own ultimate demise. Once the model is shown to work in its initial microcosm, it spreads to widespread use. We saw this in the financial crisis and housing crisis where the use of the CDOs etc. created more demand for mortgage backed products which led to issuance of lots of mortgages in the housing market, many of poor quality. The influx of money into the housing system helped push up the house prices. So this became a Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle problem where the application of the model was now artificially helping to raise house prices, so that the fundamental underlying assumption of the model became undermined by the outcomes of the usage of the model. There is generally not enough attention paid on the details of the data set used to come up with a model, so the robustness of a model is often poorly understood. Once the sales people get hold of it, then the original model is probably doomed in fairly short order.
What Soros calls reflexivity.
Have you stopped follow Carl Icahn yet? Or do you still believe?
Unlike the U.S. the E.U. will act against powerful players in enforcing its laws.
EU slams Starbucks and Fiat advance tax rulings as state aid; Is Apple next?
The European Commission decided two of its major tax subsidy cases on Wednesday, October 21, and the rulings could not have been worse for Starbucks and Fiat …. These cases can be seen as a barometer of what is to come in the legally similar but much larger case of Apple, where potentially billions of euros could be at stake.
The gist of the three cases is that tax haven subsidiaries of each company (Starbucks in the Netherlands, Fiat in Luxembourg, and Apple in Ireland) were given advance tax rulings by each country that were so removed from economic reality as to constitute illegal subsidies (“state aid” in Euro-speak) under EU competition law. ….
Insiders: Trump nomination looking more likely
“…Eighty-one percent of Republican insiders say that the likelihood that Trump becomes their party’s nominee is higher today than it was a month ago…”
http://www.politico.com/story/2015/10/insiders-trump-nomination-looking-more-likely-215087#ixzz3pNgfNdEW
American NEEDS an asshole.
One killed in Tennessee campus shooting; 3 injured
http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation-now/2015/10/23/3-shot-tennessee-campus-one-critical-condition/74444990/
GOP: More guns. Less mental health care.
Thank you Republican voter.
Thanks Bernie Sanders for your gun votes.
Speaking of financial engineering, are US companies simply imitating the Cheshire Cat where they gradually layoff workers and buy their stock back until there is nothing left but a smile on the face of the CEO?
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/tis-the-season-for-companies-to-lay-off-workers-and-buy-back-shares-2015-10-23
Meet the well-paid pros behind the Benghazi panel – POLITICO
http://www.politico.com/story/2015/10/meet-the-well-paid-pros-behind-the-benghazi-panel-215023
Meet the worms who whore for the GOP and make a nice living making America worse.
Republican money is FUNgible!
debtor prison return in the US
http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2015/oct/21/mississippi-debtors-prison-poverty-lawsuit?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other
they were outlawed a long time ago. but southern states and cities have recreated them, they just dont want to admit to that
hm, leading candidate for GOP president wants to abolish Medicare and Medicaid and replace them with
savings accounts?
http://www.politico.com/story/2015/10/ben-carson-medicare-medicaid-215055
wonder how long that lea will last with a large chunk of GOP voters being on Medicare
It will apply to somebody else other than them, after all their Medicare is a private sector plan, and not government funded.
Always a mistake to overestimate the intelligence of the typical Republican voter.
For presidential hopefuls, simpler language resonates
“…Trump tops GOP field while talking to voters at fourth-grade level…”
http://www.bostonglobe.com/news/politics/2015/10/20/donald-trump-and-ben-carson-speak-grade-school-level-that-today-voters-can-quickly-grasp/LUCBY6uwQAxiLvvXbVTSUN/story.html
The base is basic.
stock buy back and layoffs?
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/tis-the-season-for-companies-to-lay-off-workers-and-buy-back-shares-2015-10-23
some how seem to be a bad sign
so much for financial engineering. or PR spin. but on a good note it does seem to save the CEO’s job and bonuses
Jeb Bush Orders Across-the-Board Pay Cuts for Struggling Campaign
http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2015-10-23/jeb-bush-orders-across-the-board-pay-cuts-for-struggling-campaign
A shame all those well-motivated real Americans have to do the same work for less.
It’s a wonder Jeb hasn’t been able to leverage his brother’s broad range of successes to shoe-in-ism.
They can take the re-purposed McCain bus to work everyday like regular Americans.
Hey, early Bush donors! Where are you putting your money in the markets.
(I want to do the opposite.)
China cuts rates again as growth engine stalls
http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/10/23/us-china-economy-policy-idUSKCN0SH18W20151023
ONLY DRIBBLING OUT SEVEN PERCENT!
Fallout from Hastert Speakership
”…The so-called “Hastert Rule” is inextricably linked to the chaos currently engulfing the House Republican caucus and the blind eye he turned toward ethical abuses continues to dog his fellow Representatives.…”
“…This hyper-partisan approach harms our democracy and continues to play a detrimental role in polarizing the House and should be jettisoned by the new Speaker.”
http://thehill.com/blogs/congress-blog/lawmaker-news/257786-fallout-from-hastert-speakership
At least Hastert went on to live a productive, fulfilling life.
Donald Trump tells super PACs supporting his candidacy to return all money to donors
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2015/10/23/donald-trump-tells-super-pacs-supporting-his-candidacy-to-return-all-money-to-donors/
“It belongs to them let’s give it back” – Midnight Oil.
divorce.
http://qz.com/530123/its-time-we-stop-pitying-children-of-divorce/
its not always the bad thing that our culture thinks it is. can be. course we dont also account for the horrendous life that the kids had when their parents fought all the time. which can be a real problem. and impact them just as badly if not worse
A Wall Street ‘Master of the Universe’ nailed the millennial mindset with one simple story
“..But nowadays if the banker — who is in his 50s and runs one of the biggest businesses on Wall Street — asks a young analyst to jump, they might respond with something like: “Well, I don’t know if that’s the right move for me. I’m not sure jumping is the right thing to do on this occasion. How is jumping going to help me? I think I would rather skip. I think skipping might be better than jumping. Let me take some time to think about that. I am going to get back to you on that.”
http://www.businessinsider.com/wall-street-for-junior-bankers-2015-10
This is why the GOP is losing mindshare. People are no longer going to listen to bull.
And to think that we all believed that building a wall would keep the mexicans out.
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-34611997
That wall better be really deep.
Justice Department: No criminal charges in IRS probe
http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2015/10/23/justice-closes-investigation-of-irs-no-criminal-charges-poor-management-not-a-crime/74470404/
The lives ruined. The resources wasted. All because Republicans swore Obama would ruin everything and need their rage fed.
House passes Obamacare repeal
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/wp/2015/10/23/house-passes-budget-reconciliation-bill-that-could-be-headed-for-trouble-in-the-senate/
Glad they’re not wasting time on infrastructure, immigration, investigations.
failure of globalization?
http://angrybearblog.com/2015/10/failure-of-globlization-and-the-fourth-estate.html#more-31794
that new trade deal? breaks all the environmental laws every whee. so if a company has to make their air unbreathable its ok. i guess if a company has to blow up a city its ok. if a business destroys a city with a train its ok, if the make your drinking water undrinkable its ok.
http://angrybearblog.com/2015/10/ttip-deal-break-environmental-pledge.html
For business, that’s a feature of free trade, not a bug.