On Monday, I said that the total cost of this bailout could scale up to $3 trillion — I just didn’t imagine it would happen by Wednesday.
We learned yesterday that the size of the bailout just tripled, from $750b to $3T. Here is the cost structure:
• $250 billion of capital into banks;
• Guarantee $1.5 trillion in new senior debt issued by banks;
• Insure $500 billion
in deposits in noninterest-bearing accounts (primarily businesses accts).
In exchange for this largesse, the treasury, on behalf of taxpayers, receives:
• Preferred shares that pay a 5% (rising to
9% after five years);•No voting rights for government;
• Warrants to purchase common shares = to 15% of initial investment
All told, its a massive program that makes my earlier forecast of 2-3Trillion obsolete. New forecast is now double: $4-6 trillion dollars . . .
More details at articles below . . .
Sources:
Drama Behind a $250 Billion Banking Deal
MARK LANDLER and ERIC DASH
NYT, October 14, 2008
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/15/business/economy/15bailout.html
Bailout Critic: Plan Could Cost $3 Trillion
ALICE GOMSTYN
ABC NEWS Business, Oct. 13, 2008
http://abcnews.go.com/Business/Economy/story?id=6022145&page=1
Americans Embrace Big Government to Help Solve Market Crisis
Edwin Chen and Matthew Benjamin
Bloomberg, Oct. 15 2008
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601070&sid=alhCRwBpIK0U&
Devil Is in Bailout’s Details
Government’s $250 Billion Cash Injection Sparks Welter of Issues
DEBORAH SOLOMON and DAVID ENRICH
WSJ, OCTOBER 15, 2008
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122398468353632299.html
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