The Lost Decade

Fascinating chart via Jack Ablin of BMO:


I would modify Jack’s rule: In a bear market sell off, you want to buy for the trade in the 15-20% zone, not 5%.

I haven’t backtested the reverse, but I would guess thats true too — selling into a 20% pop over the 200 day moving average in Bull markets.


Playing a Sideways Market
Jack Ablin
BMO, October 31, 2008
U.S. Portfolio Strategy

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