I hereby invoke Bob Farrell’s Rule #9: When all the experts and forecasts agree — something else is going to happen.
Let’s look at the forecasted year-end 2010 levels for the S&P500 and S&P500 earnings:
Firm | Strategist | 2010 Close | 2010 EPS |
Bank of America | David Bianco | 1275 | 73 |
Bank of Montreal | Ben Joyce | 71 | |
Barclays | Barry Knapp | 1120 | 66 |
Citigroup | Tobias Levkovich | 1150 | 72.5 |
Credit Suisse | Andrew Garthwaite | 1125 | 76 |
Deutsche Bank | Binky Chada | 1260 | 77.8 |
Goldman Sachs | David Kostin | 1250 | 76 |
JP Morgan | Thomas Lee | 1300 | 80 |
Morgan Stanley | Jason Todd | 70 | |
Oppenheimer | Brian Belski | 1300 | 70 |
RBC | Myles Zyblock | 1200 | 72 |
UBS | Thomas Doerflinger | 1250 | 80 |
Mean | 1223 | $73.69 | |
Median | 1250 | $72.75 | |
High | 1300 | $80.00 | |
Low | 1120 | $66.00 |
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