Tonight is the big Oscar show — beforehand, I thought it might be fun to have a look at some data.
Let’s start with box office numbers — $32 billion in 2010:
Next, let’s see compare the Oscar for Best Picture and the highest box office gross:
• The Most Popular picture routinely made about twice what the Best Picture took in (with evidence the trend is increasing)
• Many pictures had only men in the lead and no women
• Women over 40 are rare, and over 50 virtually non-existent, while older men show up increasingly frequently
• Best Pictures usually had older actors and actresses than the Most Popular movies
• There were fewer comedies for Oscars, more Action & Adventure for Most Popular flicks
Last, let’s see how HSX is forecasting the winners of the Oscars ( as of 5:35 p.m. Friday):
Best picture: “The King’s Speech” at $17.69 per share.
Best director: David Fincher for “The Social Network” ($12.90), in a close contest with Tom Hooper for “The King’s Speech” ($11.29).
Best actor: Colin Firth for “The King’s Speech” ($22.01).
Best actress: Natalie Portman for “Black Swan” ($20.31).
Supporting actor: Christian Bale for “The Fighter” ($18.92).
Supporting actress: Melissa Leo for “The Fighter” ($15.47).
Adapted screenplay: “The Social Network” ($17.90).
Original screenplay: “The King’s Speech” ($17.45).
The Official Academy Awards Database
Piracy once again fails to get in way of record box office
Ars Technica, February 25, 2011
Oscar Statistics: Money, Men, and Maturity; Plus Our Predictions
William M. Briggs, Statistician to the Stars!
Briggs, February 27, 2011