The post credit crisis recovery has been anemic in terms of GDP and soft in terms of job creation — despite the massive Fed stimulus this entire time.
Given the stock of excess housing built up during the boom, and how leveraged home-owners became during that period, it is no surprise that Housing remains an under-performing sector today.
Exactly how much that is impacting the economy can be seen in a recent study:
“Residential investment, which includes new-home construction as well as renovations and broker commissions, accounted for 19% of GDP growth on average in the first two quarters of postwar recoveries, according to Harvard’s Joint Center for Housing Studies. In turn, GDP growth during those periods averaged nearly 7% at an annualized pace.”
Hence, the current recovery is likely to remain sub-par for the foreseeable future . . .
Recipe for Recovery Lacks Housing’s Spice
WSJ, APRIL 18, 2011
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