First quarter withholding-tax collections came in strong with a 5% annual growth (Note: 2011 looks weak on this chart because of the tax cut).
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Over the last 4 weeks, the annual growth rate of federal withholding-tax collections has ticked up from 4.2% to 4.3%.”
Viewing the job market through the withholding-tax data, we see steady year-over-year growth continuing from February to March. Friday’s jobs report may or may not meet expectations of +201,000 jobs, but odds of the report containing a nasty surprise look small.
Source:
Daily Jobs Update
by Matt Trivisonno
Over the last 4 weeks, the annual growth rate of federal withholding-tax collections has ticked up from 4.2% to 4.3%.”
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