Read it here first: No WMD
Just before the war started, I wrote a piece about what were the most likely reasons for the invasion — how much it might cost and...
Projected Electoral College Vote: Swing States, 10/06/04
Here’s a surprise: The WSJ/Zogby Swing State Polls has Kerry significantly ahead in electoral votes. A new WSJ.com projection of...
Presidential Futures Markets: Spurious Predictive Powers
Last Thursday’s presidential debates surprised many of the 63 million Americans who tuned in by offering substantive policy...
Economics, Security, and the Decline of the US Creative Class
In the beginning of the year, we asked the question: “Is the balance of scientific power shifting?” That question gets...
Barrons picks up “Bull or Bear Market”
Oops! I overlooked this: The print edition of Barron’s picked up last week’s Bull or Bear Market? commentary. The focus of...
Natural Gas prices go vertical!
How is this for a price increase: The DOE notes that “Natural gas prices continued to surge in the wake of Hurricane Ivan for the...
Political Debate Over Jobs Intensifies
We’ve shown this chart (and variations) too many times to count. It was a pleasant surprise to see that the WSJ has discovered it....
Chart of the Week: SPX (one year)
As the chart below reveals, the S&P500 has been suffering in a downtrend all year. Friday’ action finally broke the index above...
All about Oil: an overview
Max Sawicky observes “The most important story that nobody is talking about is fifty-dollar-a-barrel oil. The potential harm to the...