Despite my association with the Bear camp, and my belief that we are most likely in a long term secular bear market, I actually am an...
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James Hamilton has been relying upon Unemployment data to model whether or not we are in a recession. Friday’s release pretty much...
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I’m out of pocket at 8:30am, so feel free to post comments about NFP and any related data . . . Back in the Saddle, with a few...
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The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases Nonfarm Payrolls this morning at 8:30. Consensus expectations are for Payrolls to drop by...
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With tomorrows NFP possibly breaking the 100k loss for the first time this cycle, I thought it was as good a time as any to revisit one...
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Over the years, I have criticized a variety of official data points as misleading: Consumer Price Index (CPI) for woefully understating...
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Here’s a nice Labor Day themed story. In 1980, the last year of Jimmy Carter’s administration, the Occupational Health and...
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Floyd Norris’ column in Saturday’s NYT hits upon one of our favorite themes: That the 2001-07 recovery was one of, if not...
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The year on year rate of change of the official civilian unemployment rate is the measure, and when this passes 15, then every time it...
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Today’s media pick is from the NYT. For the first time since 2000, the average income actually rose in the US, according to IRS...
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