Soft Spots Go Beyond Employment
One of the odder bits of analyses we have happened across over the holidays is this bit of explicative: “Of course employment has...
Has the Fed Kept Inflation in Check?
Panzner answers no: click for larger graph Inflation has accellerated since the 1929 crash . . .
Fed Minutes
The Fed announced their plans today to “only invert the Yield Curve somewhat,” rather than the deeper and more extensive inversions...
A World of (mostly) Flattening Yield Curves
Lately, we’ve been discussing the Yield Curve, its flattening and inversion and how its different this time (not). This has...
Gold & The Wizard of Oz
Terrifically amusing take on Gold, via RaJa’s Jeff Saut: "We thought a lot about gold over the holiday as we watched “The...
2 Studies on the Flattening Yield Curve
A reader asked about prior studies on a flattening or inverting yield curve, wondering "what have they concluded?" Quite...
Explaining Yield Curve Inversions
The Yield Curve briefly inverted — twice — Monday. As we noted yesterday, the deeper and longer a curve remains inverted, the...
Inverted Yield Curve: Its different this time (not)
The yield curve, as measured by the ratio between the 10 and 2 year treasuries, is merely a few ticks away from inverting. This is...
Economists React to Fed
WSJ The Federal Reserve, as expected raised interest rates for the 13th consecutive time Tuesday, lifting the federal-funds rate by...
What Data is the Fed Watching?
It is a fait accompli that today’s Fed meeting will raise rates a quarter point. The more important question is “How many more...