Interesting chart study done by Gary B. Smith on RealMoney.com yesterday; This is consistent with my own expectations of the market starting to get a bit toppy:
10 Year Nasdaq Chart (Weekly)
Source: RealMoney.com
Of course, the caveat is that the prior 3 examples from the ’90s were in the middle of an 18 year Bull market; The most recent move may be via a cyclical Bull run in the middle of a cyclical bear market.
I’m going to try and get a study I’ve been working on — looking at the long Bull/Bear cycles over the past 100 years (should be up tomorrow).