Nothing much on the economic calendar today, but the rest of the week is full of market-moving economic data:
As Kevin at Minyanville notes, gathering this data and dissecting the information directly from the
sources linked below — instead of relying on headlines — will give
you an edge in the markets.
Here’s this week’s economic calendar:
Tuesday, Nov. 14: Producer Price Index
Wednesday, Nov, 15: FOMC
MinutesThursday, Nov. 16: Consumer Price Index
Thursday, Nov. 16: Net Foreign
Security PurchasesThursday: Nov. 16: NAHB
Housing Market IndexFriday: Nov 17: Housing Starts (Commerce Dept)
>
Hat tip: Kevin Depew of the Minyanville Depews
See also Yahoo Finance’s Economic Calendar
If this is a melt-up market, all data will be spun as positive. Maybe a brief dip, before hitting new highs and frustrating shorts time and time again.
In other news, commercial & industrial loans hit new highs. That’s a large contingency that isn’t agreeing on how weak the economy is.
Something I’m a little fuzzy on…. if US corps are generating tons of cash, why do they need to borrow records amounts to finance inventories, receivables, etc.?
Well — markets are at nosebleed levels.
In some ways — this week may really show that BR knows what he’s talking about — or just another permabear. If the data is weak to neutral — there should not be another leg up. I don’t know how the spinmeisters could push the markets up if the data supports a bearish thesis.
The QQQQs kind of felt like they WANTED to run up another .25 but I bet some people are a little worried about reality coming a’knockin’. The bulls now have the burden of proof to defend these market levels.
I have a few trader friends in the Hfund industry and the almost universal consensus is that noone is long enough and that any catalyst for a selloff is 4-6 months aways at least. Look for this to end with a bang as these guys throw caution to the wind and get max long sometime in the next 6 weeks.
I have a few trader friends in the Hfund industry and the almost universal consensus is that noone is long enough and that any catalyst for a selloff is 4-6 months aways at least. Look for this to end with a bang as these guys throw caution to the wind and get max long sometime in the next 6 weeks.
Really? That 0% Q4 GDP isn’t going to shake anyone?
Inflation data has to fall completely in line this week (and here on out), or there’s trouble.
In my opinion this rally keeps going not because tons of people are buying, but because there has not been a super obvious reason to sell. Inflation is pretty tame, corporate profits are up and the economy is slowing softly. No reason to panic today.
However, if there is some kind of signal that the Fed won’t be able to lower rates (i.e. core inflation trouble) the market will show it’s true colors.
I cannot remember if I read this on Barry’s blog or Barrons but it’s great: “If traders know the market will crash on Thursday, they’ll wait until Wednesday to sell.”