Data Analysis Archives - The Big Picture

@TBPInvictus here. (Also on Post and Mastodon). Happy holidays to all, and the best for 2023. It’s been a hot minute since...

I was working on a longer piece about which economic strata the Fed has the greatest impact on (its more complicated than you...

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia The Coincident State Indexes for October 2022 snuck out last week right before...

You may have missed this wonderful Josh Zumbrun column in the Wall Street Journal last week: “Inflation and Unemployment Both...

Great interactive from the Washington Post showing the past 50 years. During that time, millions of people have moved into Hurricane...

So, it was just Labor Day Weekend, and while we all should be out NOT laboring, I spent part of the long holiday weekend thinking about a...

First Half 2022, NBER Edition The debate between the official NBER determination of a recession and the 2Qs approach has been...

Today is Fed day, when we get the 75 bps increase that dramatically increases the odds of a recession. The main storyline...

The CPI data came out today sizzling hot at 9.1%: “Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 9.1 percent...

In the early days of the pandemic, lots of people (myself included) underestimated both how long Covid-19 would...