Nice mashup:
Source:
Bank Closure Map
Updated September 5th, 2008
http://www.feedba.cc/live/banks.html
September 10, 2008 5:00pm by Barry Ritholtz
Nice mashup:
Source:
Bank Closure Map
Updated September 5th, 2008
http://www.feedba.cc/live/banks.html
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Does anyone else find it odd that the closures are concentrated in flyover country, but CA and FL are the biggest real-estate losers?
That’s because they became enamored with brokered deposits and invested their “capital” in FL, CA, and AZ. I’m sure they also took numerous trips to check on their investments from Nov.-Mar.
Yes, I wonder about that too, especially the Kansas City area. That region has some of the lowest price housing in the country, and usually experiences much less price appreciation during housing booms. There must be many more and bigger shoes yet to drop in the harder hit coastal areas.
It looks to me like Wamu will be the next to fail, which of course is no surprise. And it opened above $5 Monday morning! What a great shorting opportunity that was! I missed shorting it again then because I was already all in; and even if I had had the cash, I was too scared that the rally would last for several days to jump on it. Plus, I think it only stayed above $5 for one minute, so I’m sure I would have missed it anyway.
Larster,
True story: I used to engineer drainage, water and sewer for new subdivisions in AZ, but this year I just engineer numbers to keep rich guys in NYC who “own” land in AZ happy. Lets just say that “money” ain’t from around here.
Maybe fly-over states have lower income jobs and lower deposit base and therefore more at risk during a recession. Just thinking out loud here.
I am wondering if the banking industry is more fractured there.
I would guess that the FDIC doesn’t want to take down WaMu (or any other large bank like Wachovia) before election day. It would then be politically feasible to close those in small electoral vote states.
I note that FDIC got VERY upset with Chuck Schumer for letting the cat out of the bag on IndyMac, which was CA.
Following on from the solutions to the economic problem Meme, I had a thought that perhaps looking for economic solutions from economists, traders and bankers is a bit like asking the barber if you need a hair cut. Not so much in the case of economists but they look more often in the rear vision mirror than they look ahead.
Nouriel Roubini can at least see what is coming but that is not the same as seeing a way out, far from it. In his last interview he more or less admitted that his proposal of giving a 5% hair cut to FM And FM bond holders would have been politically reckless.
So where do you look for solutions? Perhaps towards the purely technical professions and the sciences. There are engineers out there who are very good at modeling extremely complex problems.
Mr Roubini could probably compose the essence of the problem and hand it to a bunch of different engineers or scientists as a kind of black box situation and then along with some other experts, including foreign policy experts perhaps, select the some of the best ideas to come back. I would put Brad Setzer on the panel too.
I suspect, as Mohammed al Erian suggested, that a fiscal solution (not just hand outs like tax cuts or rescuing FM and FM) will be the way out. The problem has been inappropriate allocation of capital, giving more to people with a proven record of spending it badly is a very bad idea.
The answer is blowing in the wind…probably.
http://environment.newscientist.com/article/dn14701-100-billion-could-yield-two-million-green-jobs.html
I agree with JP. I think “they” are pulling out all the stops to prop things up as much as possible to give McSame a chance. That implies all hell will break loose in the months after the election, especially if Obama wins. Anyone else expecting this?
This making its way across the wires! – Warren obviously anticipates a wave of bank failures if he is pulling back the insurance he offers over and above FDIC limits.
(Reuters) – Billionaire investor Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc (BRKa.N) has told one of its units to stop insuring bank deposits above the amount guaranteed by the U.S. federal government, the Wall Street Journal reported.
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The subsidiary, Kansas Bankers Surety Co, is notifying about 1,500 banks in more than 30 states that it will no longer offer a program called “bank deposit guaranty bonds.”
The order was made on Monday by Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway’s chief executive, two people briefed on the matter told the Journal.
KBS is an 18-employee subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway, according to the parent firm’s 2007 annual report. It is one of a handful of firms that offer such insurance, a big selling point for banks trying to attract wealthy customers.
Dollar index breaks out above 80!
US Dollar Index Futures Spot Pr
(NYBOT: DX-Y.NYB)
Index Value: 80.17
Trade Time: 8:13PM ET
Change: 0.77 (0.97%)
Prev Close: 79.247
Open: 79.399
Day’s Range: 79.21 – 80.25
Whoa — looks like an unusual concentration of bank failures in Missouri.
Not to worry. Some long-forgotten KongressKlown from the Show-Me State who helped set up the Federal Reserve system gave Big Mo TWO Fed branches, one in St. Louis and the other in Kansas City.
Plenty of bailout capacity there! Let the billowing fiat roll. It’s only paper money!
Simon wrote:
> The problem has been inappropriate allocation of capital, giving more to people with a proven record of spending it badly is a very bad idea….
Truer words have never been spoken. Love the rest of the post, too.
Any one else feel that the capitulation phase is finally upon us? My sense is that these next 5 sessions are going to be really ugly.
I noticed Tijuana is half way in the United States, halfway in Mexico on that map–A lot of truth to that map.
Fannie to Pay Third-Quarter Preferred Stock Dividends (Update1) http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aWIxk14_q3R4&refer=home
While I hate to, potentially, damn them by association, I, really, like the way “KJ Foehr” and “Jim Haywood”, are able to see through the Curtain, no X-Ray specs needed; we should all, do well by, take(-ing) a page.
Past that, I hate to think that I woke up the “Great Warren” by asking: “Who’s the counter-party of the USTreas complex CDS(?)”
But, then again, he wouldn’t be Great if he didn’t Think he hadn’t a Monopoly on Insight.
To, logically, jump, thanks BR, you provide, and allow, The Big Picture.
It is, in my estimation, that that makes you the Gold Standard of insight into things Financial, and then some..
How big is a small bank? Would 8 billion qualify as the size of a small bank? Medium sized bank?
http://www.bizjournals.com/eastbay/stories/2008/09/08/daily39.html
Then here is another small bank…disguised as the Federal Highway Trust Fund…
don’t worry, be happy…
interested to see the next couple of weeks TGIF(DIC) postings. Think they’re gonna be busy.
When it is all said and done, Florida and California will be just one big grey spot on the map from the wave of failures. Let the games begin.
Isn’t it possible that the banks are just head-quartered in the cheaper states to keep their overhead down, while they do their actual business in more lucrative markets elsewhere?