So much for a slow quiet summer! Start your week right with our expertly crafted morning train reads:
• Let’s Be Honest About Gold: It’s a Pet Rock (MoneyBeat) see also Gold Plunges to Lowest Since 2010 (Bloomberg)
• High Conviction Buybacks (investorfieldguide)
• What is so great about Warren Buffett? (Quora)
• Interpreting information in China’s stock markets (M.Pettis)
• 6 surprising things the government spends way more on than the Pluto mission (Vox)
Gold is up from earlier lows
– Zero Hedge
Chicago collecting data about Chicago
https://arrayofthings.github.io
Don’t worry privacy loons they won’t know what you got on your pizza.
Daniel Kahneman: ‘What would I eliminate if I had a magic wand? Overconfidence’
http://www.theguardian.com/books/2015/jul/18/daniel-kahneman-books-interview
Icahn is off the mark on ETF criticisms (featuring Downtown Josh Brown)
http://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2015/07/19/carl-icahn-larry-fink-faceoff/30244499/
David Cay Johnston
Here’s How You Buy Out A Democracy
Thanks to a Wisconsin Supreme Court ruling Thursday, we now know how much it costs to buy a democracy: $10 million.
That’s how much money right-wing donors spent to put four justices on the court, justices who just eviscerated Wisconsin’s campaign finance laws. Their ruling rests on a bizarre interpretation of First Amendment rights
http://www.nationalmemo.com/heres-how-you-buy-out-a-democracy/
Jeb Bush Pledges to ‘Challenge the Whole Culture’ of D.C.
http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/jeb-bush-pledges-challenge-whole-culture-d-c-n395131
Jeb will rid the government of lobbyists, you can be sure of that, just like his brother.
just what do we mean by robot?
http://www.theverge.com/2015/7/20/9002219/robots-are-not-robots-drones-are-not-drones
is it a robbie or b5?
or is a rumba?
IMHO, this is huge…
http://krebsonsecurity.com/2015/07/online-cheating-site-ashleymadison-hacked/
Naturally, the aspect of blackmail on such a massive scale is what initially attracts one’s attention. But Google already knows what (almost) all of my sexual peccadillos are, as does the NSA. Methinks the entire concept of personal privacy and it’s corollaries, personal secrets, hidden desires, and the attendant deception of maintaining social relationships that are at odds with these, will be reexamined. We will just have to be less phony. I can’t be blackmailed if my pants are always down anyway.
i guess some one finally admitted that the reason that wages and prices dont fall so much is that there are lots of long term costs that are sunk in long before an event that causes prices to not fall. all of us have things like mortgages, that mean we have to pay, and those costs dont go down. they are static. and that also explains why wages act they way they do. if they really want to change this (yeah right) they need to address the long term sunk costs
link for above
http://www.interfluidity.com/v2/6088.html
Getting High on Their Own Supply
Corporate stock buybacks put a floor under earnings
Bloomberg Businessweek
July 16, 2015
Wall Street analysts are gloomy about corporate performance in the second quarter, predicting that profits fell 6.5 percent. If companies weren’t buying so much of their own stock, the drop could be much worse: 9 percent. “It makes you rethink a lot of things,” says Kevin Mahn, president of Hennion & Walsh Asset Management. “We question how much earnings growth has taken place because of actual sales growth and consumer spending—and how much is attributable to buybacks.”
Corporations report profits as earnings per share (EPS). By reducing the number of shares outstanding, buybacks help increase a company’s EPS. The impact of buybacks was harder to see in the first three years of the bull market, when ballooning profit margins helped companies in the Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index almost double their earnings. Now that margin growth has flattened out, buybacks’ contribution is more significant. Companies in the S&P 500 bought more than $550 billion of their own stock last year, boosting EPS growth by 2.3 percentage points, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
…
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-07-16/corporate-stock-buybacks-make-earnings-look-better
Return to $10-$20 a barrel oil with Iran ready to speed up its pumping?
————–
History Shows Iran Could Surprise the Oil Market
Most analysts are far too pessimistic about Iran’s ability to bounce back, International Energy Agency Says
by Javier Blas
July 19, 2015
Iran could restore oil production halted by sanctions faster than anyone anticipates if the history of previous shutdowns is any guide.
The consensus among analysts and traders is that Tehran needs at least a year after sanctions are lifted to raise output to the level prevailing before restrictions were imposed in 2012. Similar pessimistic assessments for supply disruptions at OPEC members Libya and Venezuela were confounded by quicker-than-expected recoveries, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
…
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-07-19/history-shows-iran-could-be-about-to-surprise-the-oil-market
is there a wealth effect from owning stocks?
http://angrybearblog.com/2015/07/the-current-gangbusters-current-wealth-effect-on-consumption.html#more-31266
and if its true that there is too much consumption, that its crowding out investment capital. what would be the point of investment capital if there were no one to consume what investment capital invested in?
pay data sharing at Google
http://qz.com/458615/theres-reportedly-a-big-secret-spreadsheet-where-google-employees-share-their-salaries/