Job Recovery All Oil & Fracking ? Hardly
“All of the job growth from 2007 to today can easily be attributed to the shale oil fracking situation and the oil...
You Don’t Know Non-Farm Payrolls
How to Read the Monthly Jobs Report Watch the trend in the monthly jobs report, not the number in any one month. Bloomberg, December 5,...
Yellen’s Jackson Hole Speech: Labor Market Dynamics and...
Labor Market Dynamics and Monetary Policy Chair Janet L. Yellen FRBKC Economic Symposium Jackson Hole, Wyoming August 22, 2014 ...
The Bifurcated Recovery in Jobs
Recovery’s Great If You Were Already Rich (or Even Modestly Well Off) The beneficiaries of the economic recovery have been a...
Ignore Today’s – Indeed Most — NFP reports
Ignore Today’s — and Most — Jobs Reports The employment situation report is the single most over-hyped, over-analyzed,...
Recession Probability = 95%
James Hamilton has been relying upon Unemployment data to model whether or not we are in a recession. Friday’s release pretty much...
NFP is . . . -84k!
I’m out of pocket at 8:30am, so feel free to post comments about NFP and any related data . . . Back in the Saddle, with a few...
Will NFP Breach 100k ?
The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases Nonfarm Payrolls this morning at 8:30. Consensus expectations are for Payrolls to drop by...
Business Cycle Expansions: NFP Employment
With tomorrows NFP possibly breaking the 100k loss for the first time this cycle, I thought it was as good a time as any to revisit one...