Presidential Election Models & Forecasts

Some context as a counter-balance to the bizarre media coverage (and local handwringing lately).

First, Fiscal Times:

“for better or for worse, the U.S. does not hold a national election. A successful presidential candidate can actually win the presidency with fewer total votes than an opponent because of the way the Electoral College works. George W. Bush did it in 2000, and John F. Kennedy, arguably, did it in 1960. It’s not really that complicated.”  –

Then, some charts from Upshot:





Source: NYT

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