The Apple MacWorld Trade

With Macworld set to rile up the faithful tomorrow, you may be interested in how Apple’s (AAPL) stock has done this week. Is it possible to make money off the Apple keynote talks given by Steve Jobs?

Well, here’s your answer:

Apple_keynote_trade

Via Keynote Index Fund

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What's been said:

Discussions found on the web:
  1. michael schumacher commented on Jan 14

    Premiums on options for Jan. and Feb are ridiculous…..both sides.

    Ciao
    MS

  2. Luk commented on Jan 14

    In that case, you should write them =).

  3. Tom B commented on Jan 14

    AAPL’s been hammered recently. I think it’s just recession jitters. Yes, we’re in recession, but if I need a computer, I’m still buying one.

  4. michael schumacher commented on Jan 14

    the recent small drop in apple hardly qualifies as being hammered but it depends from what your perspective is. Recent purchase??

    Ciao
    MS

  5. michael schumacher commented on Jan 14

    the only people hammered in Apple are those who bought Puts on Friday’s drop……….

    +APVMN

    Ciao
    MS

  6. Tom B commented on Jan 14

    “the recent small drop in apple hardly qualifies as being hammered but it depends from what your perspective is. Recent purchase??”

    Actually, I’ve held since 2001, adding along the way. Most recent purchase at $85 last March.

    I guess I’m just feeling “irrational exuberance” based on breaking the arbitrary $200 barrier in December.

  7. techy2468 commented on Jan 14

    tom b:

    are you going to keep holding after it crosses 200-220, after earnings report?

    or do you think its time for major correction in all growth stocks like aapl, amzn, goog, rimm etc??

  8. Tom B commented on Jan 14

    “are you going to keep holding after it crosses 200-220, after earnings report?”

    I’m not using a target price.

    I’m an individual investor with a long perspective, and I’ve followed Apple’s technologies a long time. I think they could plausibly hit 20% US computer market share in the next two years, with continued consumer interest and maybe some businesses signing on. The iPhone/iPod numbers will be in with the quarterly, and, when I look at the iPhone, I’m always remembering that weaker products, like the Razr have sold 100 million units.

    So, what I’m looking for for a potential “sell” signal are signs of Mac sales saturating. In principle, with dual-boot Mac Windows laptops, 100% of computer people could end up owning Macs within a couple of upgrade cycles, but I’m not betting my money on that proposition. I’m tracking Mac year over year sales and keeping one eye on iStuff unit sales.

  9. Tom B commented on Jan 14

    Addition:

    I bought my GOOG at 473 in April. GOOG’s got great numbers and no competitors FOR NOW. I want to double my money, but I will look for favorable or unfavorable trends and my bail early.

    AMZN has high P/E; low margin; and is doing lots of stupid things these days:Unbox movie downloads; the Kindle Reader; MP3 downloads. I have NO interest in risking my money on them.

    RIMM may be OK for a few years, but its longer-term future is uncertain until we know more about what the iPhone is doing. I’d rather risk too much exposure to AAPL or GOOG than any exposure to RIMM, personally.

  10. Andrew commented on Jan 15

    I think we will probably see a rise in Apple stock after this evenings keynote. Granted it will probably be smaller due to current economic worries but there is no underestimating brand loyalty when it comes to Apple. The launch of a new product (like the much rumored ultra-portable) would certainly cause some action. While Apple products may be seen as expensive and with less money in their pocket a consumer is less likely to purchase, their position as a desirable marque will surely keep them afloat.

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