I was working on a longer piece about which economic strata the Fed has the greatest impact on (its more complicated than you...
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Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia The Coincident State Indexes for October 2022 snuck out last week right before...
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You may have missed this wonderful Josh Zumbrun column in the Wall Street Journal last week: “Inflation and Unemployment Both...
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Great interactive from the Washington Post showing the past 50 years. During that time, millions of people have moved into Hurricane...
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So, it was just Labor Day Weekend, and while we all should be out NOT laboring, I spent part of the long holiday weekend thinking about a...
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First Half 2022, NBER Edition The debate between the official NBER determination of a recession and the 2Qs approach has been...
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Today is Fed day, when we get the 75 bps increase that dramatically increases the odds of a recession. The main storyline...
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The CPI data came out today sizzling hot at 9.1%: “Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 9.1 percent...
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In the early days of the pandemic, lots of people (myself included) underestimated both how long Covid-19 would...
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Click for animated chart. Source: Flowing Data Fascinating graphic showing how our lives change over time relative to who...
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