Inventor of the Yield Curve Indicator on the State of US Economy
I am a fan of Campbell Harvey, economics professor at Duke University, and a partner at Research Affiliates. I’ve referenced his...
Succinct Summation of Week’s Events 10.4.19
Succinct Summations for the week ending October 4th, 2019 Positives: 1. Public markets work! Absurdly overvalued unicorns run by...
Recession Risks Rise
From Torsten Sløk, Deutsche Bank Securities: Source: Torsten Sløk, Deutsche Bank Research From Torsten Sløk: For the past year,...
Succinct Summation of Week’s Events for 9.27.19
Succinct Summations for the week ending September 27th, 2019 Positives: 1. Impeachment is finally here, and markets are n0w that much...
Succinct Summation of Week’s Events for 9.20.19
Succinct Summations for the week ending September 20th 2019 Positives: 1. Markets stabilize as everyone gets used to Trade War noise; 2....
Which States Could Suffer the Most From Trade War Tariffs?
Source: How Much This is pretty amazing: • Throughout 2019, the U.S. imposed $250 billion in tariffs on imported Chinese...
Succinct Summation of Week’s Events 9.13.19
Succinct Summations for the week ending September 13th 2019 Positives: 1. Jobless claims fell 15k w/o/w from 219k to 204k. 2. Home...
Tail Risk: Part 1, The Persistent Effects of the Great Recession
Tail Risk: Part 1, The Persistent Effects of the Great Recession by Julian Kozlowski The Great Recession of 2007-09 was a deep downturn...
Succinct Summation of Week’s Events for 9.06.19
Succinct Summations for the week ending September 6th, 2019 Positives: 1. Despite numerous false starts, it appears Trade War talks are...
Assessing The Economy’s Winners & Losers
It’s Labor Day, when the Summer winds down, and we celebrate the American worker. Given the importance of Labor to the economy, it...